PolyBot

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Traders

boxfrommars

0x3c286ae0a113db82ba3ad2c8cc3633b1d4270a4a

Realised P&L
$-6.42
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$16.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 13:27Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-06 12:54Will Finland win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-05 11:56Will France win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-05 11:56Will Italy vs. Türkiye end in a draw?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-04 12:13Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-04 12:12Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-02 00:43Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-02 00:42Will Estonia win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.32$1.00
10-02 00:42Will England win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.5399999568$2.00
10-02 00:42Will Armenia win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
09-30 01:12Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-28 00:43Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-28 00:43Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-23 12:46Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-22 21:04Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.64$1.00