boxfrommars
0x3c286ae0a113db82ba3ad2c8cc3633b1d4270a4a
- Realised P&L
- $-6.42
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $16.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.17at 0.229Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$8.87at 0.400Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$4.86at 0.174Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran?
- +$4.53at 0.184Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$4.22at 0.198Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 13:27 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:54 | Will Finland win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:56 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:56 | Will Italy vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:13 | Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:12 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 00:43 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 00:42 | Will Estonia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 00:42 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 00:42 | Will Armenia win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 01:12 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 00:43 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 00:43 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 12:46 | Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 21:04 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |