PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3C1e14A4E243Ed5b2F506CdA952c2629DB6B92Fb-1768455502428

0x3c1e14a4e243ed5b2f506cda952c2629db6b92fb

Realised P&L
$-317.56
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$18.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? · No0.9321.000$16.09+$1.09
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · No0.7200.745$1.03+$0.03
Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.9890.930$0.94−$0.06
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8900.445$0.50−$0.50
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.8000.074$0.09−$0.91
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$75.83
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7040.000$0.00−$57.94
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2 · Dragon Ranger Gaming0.0010.000$0.00−$0.25
StarCraft II: Classic vs trigger (BO3) - RSL Revival Group C · trigger0.9600.000$0.00−$1.00
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9510.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No0.9400.000$0.00−$165.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 01:37Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?BUY0.9319999769$15.00
09-11 10:42Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.75$75.83
09-11 10:42Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.88$1.06
08-26 14:15Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.8800297792$67.00
08-25 03:07Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.5520871149$69.71
08-22 01:49Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.7780000062$98.24
08-16 15:04Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.9399999998$165.33
07-04 04:30Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?BUY0.9369999981$100.00
06-10 11:47Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?BUY0.95$110.00
05-19 08:27Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.91$0.98
05-19 08:27StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.906$1.01
05-19 08:27Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.78$1.16
05-16 12:03Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2BUY0.011$2.75
05-16 11:59Valorant: TEC Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2BUY0.015$3.75
04-15 10:57Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?BUY0.985$125.76