0x3C1e14A4E243Ed5b2F506CdA952c2629DB6B92Fb-1768455502428
0x3c1e14a4e243ed5b2f506cda952c2629db6b92fb
- Realised P&L
- $-317.56
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $18.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.500Will Meta (META) close above $660 on February 9?
- +$10.04at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
- +$6.28at 0.941Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
- +$5.40at 0.953Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$5.00at 0.950Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 01:37 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9319999769 | $15.00 |
| 09-11 10:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $75.83 |
| 09-11 10:42 | Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.06 |
| 08-26 14:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8800297792 | $67.00 |
| 08-25 03:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.5520871149 | $69.71 |
| 08-22 01:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7780000062 | $98.24 |
| 08-16 15:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9399999998 | $165.33 |
| 07-04 04:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9369999981 | $100.00 |
| 06-10 11:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | BUY | 0.95 | $110.00 |
| 05-19 08:27 | Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.98 |
| 05-19 08:27 | StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.906 | $1.01 |
| 05-19 08:27 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.16 |
| 05-16 12:03 | Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2 | BUY | 0.011 | $2.75 |
| 05-16 11:59 | Valorant: TEC Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2 | BUY | 0.015 | $3.75 |
| 04-15 10:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | BUY | 0.985 | $125.76 |