binggan
0x3c1ad5cbeb57a20dd32d08bff0450cd5146fa84e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $50.7k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $10.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.080 | $10.40 | −$45.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$201.72at 0.780Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$30.44at 0.620Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
- +$19.28at 0.730Browns vs. Broncos
- +$1.72at 0.921Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?
- +$1.19at 0.750Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 06:36 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? | BUY | 0.61 | $48.80 |
| 03-05 06:26 | Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.7k |
| 12-23 05:19 | Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025? | BUY | 0.75 | $89.25 |
| 12-23 02:40 | Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22? | SELL | 0.017 | $4.86 |
| 12-23 02:40 | Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22? | SELL | 0.018 | $75.85 |
| 10-10 07:33 | Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025? | BUY | 0.9209999758 | $20.00 |
| 03-24 07:39 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.987 | $3.90 |
| 03-24 07:37 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.987 | $9.87 |
| 03-24 07:36 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.9879999994 | $13.79 |
| 03-24 07:34 | Wild vs. Stars | BUY | 0.6699998912 | $1.97 |
| 03-24 07:32 | Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $15.76 |
| 03-24 07:31 | Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.78 |
| 01-13 09:59 | Flames vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.4499999968 | $64.00 |
| 01-13 09:52 | Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.99 | $79.78 |
| 01-13 09:51 | Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9909999421 | $79.87 |