PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

scalingrewards

0x3c186c80ba7e078ee73f842cb8d7a26c2afe32c3

Realised P&L
$-9.9k
Volume
$457.8k
Markets traded
8,583
Open portfolio
$10.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,583
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration68.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Michigan have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.4000.220$4.40−$3.60
Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026? · Yes0.4700.265$2.24−$1.74
Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat? · Yes0.1300.198$1.98+$0.68
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.058$1.15−$1.45
Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland? · No0.3800.057$0.33−$1.91
Will Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? · Yes0.3300.003$0.06−$6.54
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 980m and 1000m by August 31? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$4.00
Will MrBeast say "Cheat" or "Cheater" during his next YouTube video? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 15? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$4.24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 26? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.25
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 7? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$5.40
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 17? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$9.40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 14? · No0.6600.000$0.00−$9.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 13:56Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 14?SELL0.65$13.00
08-13 13:56Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?SELL0.54$10.80
08-13 13:55Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?SELL0.42$7.37
08-13 13:54WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on August 13?SELL0.34$6.80
08-13 13:41Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?SELL0.45$9.00
08-13 13:30Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?SELL0.523455$10.47
08-13 13:25Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?SELL0.19$9.50
08-13 13:23Will anyone say "God" 5+ times during President Curtis E4 S1?SELL0.24$0.96
08-13 13:21Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 15?SELL0.21759$4.35
08-13 13:16Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?SELL0.127$5.44
08-13 13:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.4$20.00
08-13 13:13Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?SELL0.55$1.22
08-13 13:12Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 14?SELL0.34$5.10
08-13 13:10Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?SELL0.43$0.00
08-13 13:10Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?SELL0.43$0.77