Nosredno
0x3c11b622d3f6d6d0e1a3188d0f46c3baad2d33c9
- Realised P&L
- $-911.21
- Volume
- $257.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,632
- Open portfolio
- $4.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,632
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$523.49at 0.020Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$211.86at 0.432US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$163.10at 0.199Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?
- +$152.10at 0.616Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$137.36at 0.681Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-26 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 09-26 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.51 | $3.58 |
| 09-26 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.72 |
| 09-26 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.4256148231 | $7.58 |
| 09-26 18:45 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 09-26 18:45 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.13 |
| 09-26 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.3795419847 | $1.99 |
| 09-26 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.088 | $1.34 |
| 09-26 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.0803924666 | $1.98 |
| 09-26 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 09-26 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4733288859 | $7.10 |
| 09-26 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4578723404 | $10.76 |
| 09-26 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |