wanhope
0x3c0989af47854466efb80b4ad89a682ff046236f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.00
- Volume
- $53.90
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $7.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.300 | $2.98 | −$1.02 |
| Will "SpaceX" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.130 | $2.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.420 | $1.50 | +$0.00 |
| Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during their summit? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.029 | $0.66 | −$1.34 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:33 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 13:13 | Will "SpaceX" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 13:01 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? | BUY | 0.4029483732 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 13:01 | Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during their summit? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |