Bogatyr28
0x3c07298d7b96e7153df6811c90b206d6d5c70c57
- Realised P&L
- $-91.01
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $706.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.329 | 0.525 | $706.17 | +$263.94 |
| Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.27 |
| Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.59at 0.068Will Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?
- +$-5.90at 0.503Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?
- +$-47.38at 0.140Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Norway Chess 2026?
- +$-67.55at 0.025Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
- +$-133.97at 0.238Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 23:58 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999225 | $2.23 |
| 08-18 21:32 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999995 | $230.00 |
| 08-15 12:31 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $210.00 |
| 06-16 09:50 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? | BUY | 0.0704914781 | $15.00 |
| 06-07 22:41 | Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? | BUY | 0.0060211249 | $8.27 |
| 06-05 19:46 | Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.21 |
| 06-05 18:25 | Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026? | BUY | 0.4959477124 | $18.97 |
| 06-05 18:23 | Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026? | SELL | 0.0396787517 | $11.63 |
| 06-04 16:34 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? | SELL | 0.0034813771 | $4.35 |
| 06-04 15:39 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? | BUY | 0.0240192538 | $30.00 |
| 06-02 16:43 | Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026? | BUY | 0.2545474964 | $60.00 |
| 06-02 16:42 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? | SELL | 0.1831502907 | $64.27 |
| 06-02 16:33 | Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026? | BUY | 0.2183849841 | $82.00 |
| 05-30 19:54 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? | BUY | 0.1908396947 | $20.00 |
| 05-30 19:51 | Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026? | SELL | 0.0465410389 | $16.68 |