0x3c031bed1b48354b8264d9eba26f220072aaaf1f
0x3c031bed1b48354b8264d9eba26f220072aaaf1f
- Realised P&L
- $-0.17
- Volume
- $86.94
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $9.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.056 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.225 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.750 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.785 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.981 | 0.984 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.835 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.929 | 0.903 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.145 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.755 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.115 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.80at 0.834Colts vs. Chiefs
- +$0.06at 0.991CF Pachuca vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 6.5
- +$-1.03at 0.585Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:11 | Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:04 | Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:03 | F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:01 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.9289993655 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:00 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0509999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:00 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 02:51 | Colts vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 02:50 | CF Pachuca vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 6.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $17.23 |
| 09-21 01:31 | CF Pachuca vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.9849999994 | $17.00 |
| 09-21 01:30 | Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 01:30 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 01:29 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 01:29 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 01:28 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |