PolyBot

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Traders

3Verh89lkjlj

0x3c025d05d98b638f5a96b1d75ca7ed9c3adb5e36

Realised P&L
$-14.75
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$1.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes0.7700.840$1.27+$0.11
Will the Democrats win North Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes0.8200.540$0.66−$0.34
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 07:14Will the Democrats win North Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-31 07:13Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election?BUY0.759999696$1.00
10-31 07:13Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election?SELL0.69$0.69
10-31 07:13Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election?BUY0.84$1.00
10-31 07:11Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.996$399.20
10-31 07:11Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.998$89.91
10-31 07:11Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.993$49.90
10-29 09:31Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.999$90.00
10-29 09:29Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.995$50.00
10-29 09:28Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.998$400.00
04-24 05:10Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.994$202.80
04-24 05:09Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.997$202.19
04-24 05:09Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.992$159.83
04-21 09:07Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.995$203.00
04-21 09:06Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.998$202.00