3Verh89lkjlj
0x3c025d05d98b638f5a96b1d75ca7ed9c3adb5e36
- Realised P&L
- $-14.75
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $1.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.840 | $1.27 | +$0.11 |
| Will the Democrats win North Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.540 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.17at 0.920Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2025 DPW Tour Omega European Masters?
- +$0.16at 0.860Will Trump say "Crypto" during Lex interview?
- +$0.05at 0.910Will Qualcomm acquire Intel?
- +$0.03at 0.990"The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
- +$0.02at 0.960Bulgarian government no-confidence motion passes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 07:14 | Will the Democrats win North Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 07:13 | Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 07:13 | Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.69 |
| 10-31 07:13 | Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 07:11 | Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.996 | $399.20 |
| 10-31 07:11 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $89.91 |
| 10-31 07:11 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.993 | $49.90 |
| 10-29 09:31 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.00 |
| 10-29 09:29 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $50.00 |
| 10-29 09:28 | Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.998 | $400.00 |
| 04-24 05:10 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.994 | $202.80 |
| 04-24 05:09 | Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $202.19 |
| 04-24 05:09 | Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.992 | $159.83 |
| 04-21 09:07 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $203.00 |
| 04-21 09:06 | Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $202.00 |