sw-sw
0x3c01135227d7731c52d50ab7b84482115498d6b2
- Realised P&L
- $295.22
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? · Up | 0.745 | 0.272 | $1.36 | −$2.37 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$383.77at 0.235Will Charles Myers visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.745Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 16:26 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0339999991 | $35.00 |
| 07-04 21:53 | Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999942 | $25.00 |
| 07-04 21:31 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.022 | $25.01 |
| 03-28 19:39 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 03-28 19:37 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |