PolyBot

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Traders

kirchobeloto

0x3bf480d466ead6d5a65a8c2315099d8c436626b3

Realised P&L
$-12.50
Volume
$331.22
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$4.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? · No0.7400.900$2.45+$0.44
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? · No0.5000.325$1.43$0.77
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2800.100$0.21$0.39
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1300.004$0.02$0.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Up0.0090.000$0.00$1.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 22:55Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?SELL0.17$0.85
05-19 17:03Obama arrested before 2027?SELL0.901$4.50
05-19 16:57Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?SELL0.14$0.70
05-19 09:06Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?SELL0.12$0.60
05-19 07:38Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?BUY0.219$1.09
05-19 07:34Will Beyoncé release a new song in 2026?SELL0.151$0.76
05-19 03:49Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?SELL0.81$4.05
05-19 01:47Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?SELL0.08$0.40
05-18 23:36Another US debt downgrade before 2027?SELL0.73$3.65
05-18 21:48Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?BUY0.82$4.10
05-18 21:35Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?SELL0.19$0.95
05-18 21:27Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?SELL0.25$0.71
05-18 21:09Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? SELL0.74$3.70
05-18 21:00Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?SELL0.26$1.30
05-18 19:30Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?SELL0.07$0.35