tomlie
0x3bed7c0bff74bee4aa50611117bc117cc604400a
- Realised P&L
- $59.61
- Volume
- $259.3k
- Markets traded
- 326
- Open portfolio
- $187.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded326
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 October 26-November 1? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $187.91 | +$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.970Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
- +$1.95at 0.610Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$1.88at 0.985Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 24?
- +$1.30at 0.968Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
- +$1.25at 0.992Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $187.81 |
| 10-26 04:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | BUY | 0.996 | $186.25 |
| 10-24 00:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.996973262 | $186.43 |
| 10-21 12:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $186.63 |
| 10-16 22:22 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.998 | $185.63 |
| 10-16 11:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 16? | BUY | 0.995972973 | $184.26 |
| 10-15 02:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.9979334398 | $74.96 |
| 10-15 02:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.99635 | $99.63 |
| 10-08 22:38 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.996 | $183.26 |
| 10-03 23:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $182.82 |
| 09-28 22:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $182.63 |
| 09-21 21:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 on September 21? | BUY | 0.997 | $180.46 |
| 09-20 21:28 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.999 | $180.82 |
| 09-19 22:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $180.82 |
| 09-17 09:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $179.28 |