0x3be500127f46504104ACD4d7319faB3c0Fe305fA-1787233918290
0x3be500127f46504104acd4d7319fab3c0fe305fa
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $198.1k
- Markets traded
- 622
- Open portfolio
- $104.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded622
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.196Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 26?
- +$283.33at 0.782Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 28?
- +$228.36at 0.707Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?
- +$149.38at 0.849Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 30?
- +$100.69at 0.695Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.5176224441 | $21.77 |
| 10-07 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.29 | $23.20 |
| 10-07 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 10-07 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.71 |
| 10-07 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $47.83 |
| 10-07 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 10-06 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.93 |
| 10-06 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.32 |
| 10-06 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.25 | $6.25 |
| 10-06 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.0926566327 | $8.10 |
| 10-06 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 10-05 17:44 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.09 | $7.20 |
| 10-05 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.28 |
| 10-05 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.81 |