2762951793887444
0x3be4c4c6d778a4d990f8a775d95b55dc76ce94d6
- Realised P&L
- $-5.32
- Volume
- $37.6k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $70.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.71at 0.958Will Warsh’s remarks not air?
- +$22.99at 0.880Will Trump say "Ass" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?
- +$12.90at 0.942Will Trump’s remarks not air?
- +$7.31at 0.975Megaquake by August 31?
- +$6.88at 0.980Will the earnings call not air?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 10:57 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $12.60 |
| 09-30 10:54 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 09-30 10:11 | Will Trump say "Smelter" during his rally in Oklahoma? | SELL | 0.44 | $13.20 |
| 09-30 07:38 | Will Trump say "Ass" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.9197777778 | $4.97 |
| 09-30 07:37 | Will Trump say "Ass" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.67 |
| 09-30 07:37 | Will Trump say "Ass" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.88 |
| 09-30 07:07 | Will Trump say "Income Tax" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.84 |
| 09-30 06:49 | Will Trump say "Electric Vehicle" or "EV" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.12 |
| 09-30 06:45 | Will Trump say "Discord" in September? | BUY | 0.98 | $375.78 |
| 09-30 06:44 | Will Trump say "Airbus" in October? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.50 |
| 09-30 06:38 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 06:37 | Will Trump's remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company not air? | BUY | 0.9896199628 | $15.96 |
| 09-30 06:35 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.038524 | $1.16 |
| 09-30 06:33 | Will Trump say "Smelter" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.20 |
| 09-30 06:33 | Will Trump say "Reagan" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.20 |