0x3be3d30a16558461d10f3fd4e41c78fded7da601
0x3be3d30a16558461d10f3fd4e41c78fded7da601
- Realised P&L
- $-55.87
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $76.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.380 | 0.995 | $75.44 | +$46.63 |
| Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.230 | 0.005 | $0.52 | −$23.32 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.003 | $0.20 | −$20.81 |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.69 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.445 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.40 |
| Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.58 |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.78 |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.24 |
| South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.69 |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.48 |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.76 |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.77 |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.91 |
| Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.78 |
| Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.09at 0.693Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
- +$99.94at 0.176Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
- +$96.23at 0.238Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$84.53at 0.262Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5
- +$82.05at 0.673Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 19:44 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.2599999978 | $21.01 |
| 10-12 18:46 | Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3799999974 | $28.81 |
| 10-12 15:11 | Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.2299999998 | $23.84 |
| 10-11 18:21 | Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.35 | $23.52 |
| 10-11 18:21 | Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $19.09 |
| 10-11 15:20 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $28.66 |
| 10-11 14:40 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.2599999976 | $8.50 |
| 10-11 09:59 | Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $28.63 |
| 10-10 06:45 | Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3099999993 | $48.46 |
| 10-06 19:16 | Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4699999986 | $32.93 |
| 07-04 19:37 | Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3599999964 | $48.58 |
| 07-04 19:35 | Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5999999981 | $61.64 |
| 07-04 09:51 | Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4299999962 | $48.68 |
| 07-03 06:59 | Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3399999977 | $75.46 |
| 07-03 02:45 | Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4449999959 | $48.70 |