PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

balthazaar

0x3bdbaee4933abda99300d6ae3dff192fa1eb1ad7

Realised P&L
$-5.59
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$0.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 11:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 31 2026?SELL0.443$2.21
02-26 19:40Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?SELL0.72$0.28
12-09 11:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL0.95$15.06
12-09 11:47Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?SELL0.6$121.20
11-25 14:17Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.4940906755$100.00
11-25 14:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.8199999937$13.00
09-19 15:58Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 19?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
09-11 11:59Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?SELL0.0268046674$1.15
09-11 11:58Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?SELL0.001$0.03
09-11 11:58Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?SELL0.001025$0.04
09-11 11:57Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?SELL0.86$10.99
08-29 17:40Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?BUY0.05$2.00
08-29 17:39Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
08-29 17:38Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?BUY0.1$3.00
08-29 17:38Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?BUY0.12$3.00