balthazaar
0x3bdbaee4933abda99300d6ae3dff192fa1eb1ad7
- Realised P&L
- $-5.59
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $0.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.48at 0.494Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
- +$3.16at 0.051Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.06at 0.820Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$1.22at 0.880Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
- +$1.00at 0.782Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 11:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.443 | $2.21 |
| 02-26 19:40 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.28 |
| 12-09 11:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.95 | $15.06 |
| 12-09 11:47 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.6 | $121.20 |
| 11-25 14:17 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.4940906755 | $100.00 |
| 11-25 14:14 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.8199999937 | $13.00 |
| 09-19 15:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 11:59 | Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament? | SELL | 0.0268046674 | $1.15 |
| 09-11 11:58 | Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 09-11 11:58 | Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament? | SELL | 0.001025 | $0.04 |
| 09-11 11:57 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | SELL | 0.86 | $10.99 |
| 08-29 17:40 | Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 17:39 | Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 17:38 | Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 17:38 | Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |