0x3BD23569A136bC7B34bfA9DD139f5c4573B19ab0-1765970752094
0x3bd23569a136bc7b34bfa9dd139f5c4573b19ab0
- Realised P&L
- $-12.85
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $32.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.57at 0.110US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$1.73at 0.420Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$-2.39at 0.042Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?
- +$-2.96at 0.170Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$-4.97at 0.040Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 21:15 | Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | BUY | 0.0361993571 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 21:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0300528222 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 18:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.0699999839 | $4.00 |
| 07-31 18:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 17:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $4.97 |
| 07-28 13:53 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.044 | $1.03 |
| 01-08 21:30 | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 01-07 17:48 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $4.00 |
| 01-05 21:13 | Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.499397948 | $18.00 |
| 01-05 20:43 | Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 01-04 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 1°C on January 5? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 01-04 10:52 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 01-04 10:42 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.0339999955 | $7.00 |
| 01-03 08:19 | US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $63.57 |
| 12-30 19:36 | Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31? | BUY | 0.0206896452 | $2.00 |