PolyBot

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Traders

0x3bcedb75152cc6dff2c3464a3b397af097b7853a

0x3bcedb75152cc6dff2c3464a3b397af097b7853a

Realised P&L
$5.17
Volume
$335.63
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$4.33

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes0.2800.395$1.41+$0.41
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No0.6700.665$0.99−$0.01
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · Yes0.2300.225$0.98−$0.02
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7400.670$0.91−$0.09
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes0.4800.022$0.05−$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 20:25Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-09 20:17Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-09 12:02S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 9?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-09 03:58Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-09 03:53S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-08 19:50Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-08 19:49Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
10-08 11:42Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
10-08 03:42Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2269999662$1.00
10-07 18:27Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-07 10:25Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-07 10:24Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-07 02:24Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-30 15:44Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
09-24 15:16Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00