0x3bca5ca428275114cead4e24862d18fce2550db3
- Realised P&L
- $-62.33
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $101.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Spurs · Nuggets | 0.298 | 1.000 | $36.90 | +$25.90 |
| Rockets vs. Lakers · Rockets | 0.390 | 1.000 | $12.82 | +$7.82 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? · Yes | 0.400 | 1.000 | $12.28 | +$7.37 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.944 | 1.000 | $10.57 | +$0.59 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? · Yes | 0.780 | 1.000 | $6.37 | +$1.40 |
| Knicks vs. Hawks · Knicks | 0.563 | 1.000 | $5.33 | +$2.33 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.509 | 1.000 | $3.97 | +$1.95 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.570 | 1.000 | $3.51 | +$1.51 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.281 | $2.60 | −$2.40 |
| UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha (Flyweight, Prelims) · Jafel Filho | 0.510 | 0.500 | $2.33 | −$0.05 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.710 | 1.000 | $1.40 | +$0.40 |
| Knicks vs. Jazz · Knicks | 0.840 | 1.000 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Cavaliers vs. Mavericks · Cavaliers | 0.849 | 1.000 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.025 | $0.71 | −$9.20 |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.82at 0.660Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- +$8.89at 0.360Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- +$4.43at 0.530O/U 2.5 Rounds
- +$4.09at 0.550Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$3.88at 0.502Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 01:25 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.10 |
| 05-22 01:23 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | SELL | 0.91 | $3.07 |
| 05-19 22:02 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.97 |
| 05-19 22:02 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.09 |
| 05-19 22:01 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.94 | $3.03 |
| 05-19 22:01 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.93 |
| 05-19 22:00 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | SELL | 0.91 | $3.03 |
| 05-19 22:00 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.93 |
| 05-19 22:00 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.99 |
| 05-19 21:59 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.97 |
| 05-17 20:33 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 17:00 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5 | SELL | 0.45 | $0.88 |
| 05-17 17:00 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | SELL | 0.63 | $0.98 |
| 05-17 03:20 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 03:19 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5 | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |