peakyman
0x3bbc51fe317aba3ffa7fec98f917b648d466a2b1
- Realised P&L
- $-653.08
- Volume
- $173.5k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $155.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.43at 0.351Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $30.5B by October 31?
- +$24.83at 0.210Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?
- +$16.48at 0.090Will US annex any territory in 2026?
- +$11.50at 0.250Will Jean Silva be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- +$10.79at 0.200Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 21:52 | Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.53 |
| 10-30 21:48 | Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.55 |
| 10-30 20:38 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 10-30 20:29 | Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.81 |
| 10-30 20:29 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.0365531483 | $3.96 |
| 10-30 20:28 | Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.0389578368 | $4.25 |
| 10-30 20:28 | Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.054 | $0.73 |
| 10-30 20:28 | Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.93 |
| 10-30 20:27 | Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.0257822977 | $2.31 |
| 10-30 20:27 | Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.033 | $1.90 |
| 10-30 20:26 | Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.033 | $3.30 |
| 10-30 20:26 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.0353417338 | $3.03 |
| 10-26 19:07 | Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.068 | $1.36 |
| 10-26 19:06 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.0361792683 | $2.97 |
| 10-26 19:05 | Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0354545454 | $4.00 |