PolyBot

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Traders

peakyman

0x3bbc51fe317aba3ffa7fec98f917b648d466a2b1

Realised P&L
$-632.85
Volume
$158.3k
Markets traded
141
Open portfolio
$142.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded141
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0440.041$12.95$1.14
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0590.040$10.51$5.09
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0680.065$9.32$0.43
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0330.027$7.43$1.66
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0330.027$7.02$1.48
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0250.018$7.00$3.15
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0520.041$6.37$1.77
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0570.041$6.15$2.38
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0370.034$6.14$0.57
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0430.038$5.81$0.77
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0930.095$4.78+$0.07
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1130.018$4.68$23.97
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0450.045$4.50$0.02
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0500.045$4.34$0.48
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0290.025$4.29$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:26Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.0429999994$2.10
09-16 15:26Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.0434567894$2.00
09-16 15:25Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.043$3.22
09-16 15:24Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.04$1.78
09-16 15:22Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.073$3.65
09-16 15:21Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-16 15:21Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-16 15:21Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.1$1.25
09-13 23:07Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?BUY0.0879999951$1.00
09-13 23:06Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?BUY0.0674753588$1.00
09-13 23:06Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?SELL0.024$0.22
09-13 23:03Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?SELL0.078$1.56
09-13 23:03Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?BUY0.026$2.60
09-13 23:02Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?BUY0.0396475767$2.00
09-13 23:01Will One in a Million win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.06401$6.40