PolyBot

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Traders

peakyman

0x3bbc51fe317aba3ffa7fec98f917b648d466a2b1

Realised P&L
$-653.08
Volume
$173.5k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$155.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 21:52Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?SELL0.032$0.53
10-30 21:48Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.031$1.55
10-30 20:38Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.09$4.50
10-30 20:29Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?SELL0.028$0.81
10-30 20:29Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?SELL0.0365531483$3.96
10-30 20:28Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?SELL0.0389578368$4.25
10-30 20:28Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?SELL0.054$0.73
10-30 20:28Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.022$0.93
10-30 20:27Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.0257822977$2.31
10-30 20:27Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.033$1.90
10-30 20:26Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.033$3.30
10-30 20:26Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.0353417338$3.03
10-26 19:07Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?SELL0.068$1.36
10-26 19:06Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?SELL0.0361792683$2.97
10-26 19:05Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?BUY0.0354545454$4.00