0x3BBa5439E24E98db9b7713d5Fb1a73B026721509-1769543148555
0x3bba5439e24e98db9b7713d5fb1a73b026721509
- Realised P&L
- $-20.81
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $0.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ilia Topuria be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.009 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Down | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Down | 0.618 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.32at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$0.55at 0.647Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 7?
- +$0.47at 0.300Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.39at 0.720Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.36at 0.520Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 19:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $0.89 |
| 04-08 19:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $19.50 |
| 04-08 18:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4973819622 | $10.20 |
| 04-08 18:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.86 |
| 04-08 18:01 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.87 |
| 04-08 18:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 8? | SELL | 0.78 | $0.96 |
| 04-08 18:01 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.85 |
| 04-08 18:01 | Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.01 |
| 04-08 18:01 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.98 |
| 04-08 18:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $1.05 |
| 04-08 18:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.82 |
| 04-08 17:59 | Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.67 |
| 04-08 17:59 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.12 |
| 04-08 17:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.34 |
| 04-08 17:59 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $1.36 |