riding
0x3bb3bc14cb746c28a5bd149df3b74039f55c9542
- Realised P&L
- $-396.72
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $18.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.255 | $18.51 | −$34.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.59at 0.214Ravens vs. Browns
- +$84.68at 0.438Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$63.33at 0.240Thunder vs. Suns
- +$48.97at 0.290Bulls vs. Magic
- +$45.16at 0.580Warriors vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 05:09 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999898 | $53.00 |
| 07-30 06:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL | 0.986 | $59.16 |
| 07-05 03:39 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.944 | $102.90 |
| 04-17 13:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | SELL | 0.984 | $103.32 |
| 02-01 11:53 | Clippers vs. Suns | BUY | 0.48 | $30.00 |
| 01-06 01:43 | Will Robert De Zerbi be the next Chelsea manager? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.25 |
| 01-06 01:42 | Bulls vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.9709999993 | $12.00 |
| 01-06 01:42 | Hawks vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.8899999963 | $12.00 |
| 01-06 01:41 | Knicks vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.96 | $12.00 |
| 01-06 01:40 | Red Wings vs. Senators | BUY | 0.88 | $15.00 |
| 01-06 01:39 | Ducks vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.91 | $11.12 |
| 01-04 09:49 | Thunder vs. Suns | BUY | 0.2399999918 | $20.00 |
| 01-04 09:48 | Bucks vs. Kings | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 01-04 09:47 | Pelicans vs. Heat | BUY | 0.2799999895 | $15.00 |
| 01-04 09:47 | Timberwolves vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.2099999903 | $13.00 |