0x3bb0a9160dfff17d5018e3c33980f1c69e049441
0x3bb0a9160dfff17d5018e3c33980f1c69e049441
- Realised P&L
- $-5.14
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $2.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.345 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15? · No | 0.750 | 0.500 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.91at 0.240Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?
- +$22.26at 0.310US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$19.97at 0.341Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$15.34at 0.402Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
- +$11.95at 0.462Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 04:45 | Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 34% to 36%? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 20:45 | United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 12:44 | Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 04:37 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.7859997721 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 20:06 | United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 12:02 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 01:36 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 12:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 04:23 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7589994566 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:05 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:02 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 03:01 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 22:55 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 02:51 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |