PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

xiujiang

0x3bb0506248f7bfa4a12183c6cfe650ecd781b202

Realised P&L
$-9.54
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$13.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? · No0.9990.999$12.69−$0.01
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) · Chicago Cubs0.4600.455$1.14−$0.01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.80
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 27? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 13:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?BUY0.999$12.70
09-24 13:25Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)BUY0.46$1.15
08-01 11:10Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.999$13.90
06-08 09:33Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?BUY0.999$94.00
06-01 10:12Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?BUY0.999$94.00
05-23 06:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?BUY0.999$94.00
05-13 09:12Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?BUY0.999$94.00
05-07 11:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?BUY0.999$94.00
05-04 11:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?BUY0.9989999904$94.00
05-04 11:32Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.002$1.80
04-26 11:34Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?BUY0.9847926696$93.86
04-26 11:33Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?BUY0.002$1.71
04-26 11:33Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 27?BUY0.002$1.88
04-23 12:46Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 23?BUY0.999$97.99
04-18 08:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18?BUY0.999$97.99