Moonmind42
0x3b938905ee174e8f87535ba2d425024676b3cf00
- Realised P&L
- $-783.13
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,803
- Open portfolio
- $64.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,803
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.67at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
- +$23.96at 0.308Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$23.65at 0.517Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$22.55at 0.436Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$21.77at 0.325Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:05 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-01 08:04 | Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.73 |
| 10-01 08:03 | Will Meta (META) close above $750 on October 1? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 10-01 08:03 | Will Meta (META) close above $750 on October 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-01 07:53 | LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.85 | $4.76 |
| 10-01 07:51 | Dota 2: Team Kinetix vs Cloud Dawning - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.9 | $4.68 |
| 10-01 07:41 | Bitcoin above 83,200 on October 1, 4AM ET? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 10-01 07:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.918 | $4.59 |
| 10-01 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-01 07:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-01 07:31 | Bitcoin above 83,200 on October 1, 4AM ET? | BUY | 0.8503370623 | $4.40 |
| 10-01 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.55 |
| 10-01 00:24 | LoL: Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-01 00:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,650 on September 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-01 00:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9469999984 | $4.74 |