SonofWeather
0x3b8cf6f61b70f5526b92b7fcb28803a5f55be802
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $314.4k
- Markets traded
- 6,925
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,925
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$301.96at 0.033Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 1?
- +$145.69at 0.858Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 30?
- +$102.82at 0.017Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 14?
- +$100.00at 0.490France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$95.29at 0.069Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.987 | $8.96 |
| 08-04 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.9299999983 | $5.61 |
| 08-04 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.9339999984 | $7.13 |
| 08-04 01:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.9549999959 | $7.06 |
| 08-04 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 08-04 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $11.71 |
| 08-04 00:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8499999967 | $12.78 |
| 08-04 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9045752027 | $20.41 |
| 08-04 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9199999974 | $14.09 |
| 08-04 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.9480476475 | $8.40 |
| 08-04 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $14.07 |
| 08-04 00:36 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9669999964 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.77 |
| 08-04 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.49 |
| 08-04 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.9609999583 | $22.40 |