dafa11
0x3b871d4fca7eaa482367646d994623235000d3f5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.80
- Volume
- $34.5k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $75.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.68at 0.691Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.750US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
- +$1.64at 0.880Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026?
- +$1.62at 0.650Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?
- +$1.56at 0.762Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 12:00 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9605997481 | $12.00 |
| 10-09 11:59 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9549999674 | $11.00 |
| 10-09 11:59 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999948 | $11.00 |
| 10-09 11:59 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.9559999972 | $11.00 |
| 10-09 11:59 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9209999972 | $12.00 |
| 09-09 14:39 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? | BUY | 0.9769999555 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 14:39 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 14:38 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9669999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 14:38 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999985 | $15.00 |
| 09-09 14:38 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.932999997 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 14:37 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $5.26 |
| 08-06 04:03 | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999302 | $12.00 |
| 08-06 04:03 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999971 | $12.00 |
| 08-06 04:02 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9759999993 | $11.00 |
| 08-06 04:01 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999949 | $11.00 |