odyssey33
0x3b832652aaf5d05fe0521e05a7ec1ffd29e6e2c8
- Realised P&L
- $-48.0k
- Volume
- $478.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $29.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.952 | 0.935 | $29.4k | −$529.38 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.0k |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.1kat 0.693Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$12.0kat 0.854Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
- +$6.1kat 0.932Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
- +$1.6kat 0.960United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$4.30at 0.698Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:30 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.951822815 | $30.0k |
| 08-16 13:28 | Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.3799999993 | $193.01 |
| 08-16 13:27 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6829806658 | $9.73 |
| 07-14 16:02 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.58 | $50.2k |
| 07-07 01:30 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9584003733 | $39.0k |
| 07-05 00:13 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.54 | $40.0k |
| 07-04 10:36 | Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.93 | $84.0k |
| 07-04 02:08 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.85 | $70.0k |
| 07-03 03:29 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.6867712074 | $49.5k |