PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3b810d6ba3f56929e3449261a11ce8c8d1951ae7

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$96.8k
Markets traded
3,360
Open portfolio
$165.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,360
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 5? · No0.5000.860$17.20+$7.20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5? · No0.5000.850$17.00+$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 4? · No0.5000.785$15.70+$5.70
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5? · No0.5000.760$15.20+$5.20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? · No0.5000.735$14.70+$4.70
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 4? · No0.5000.700$14.00+$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4? · No0.5000.595$11.90+$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4? · Yes0.5000.405$8.10$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 4? · Yes0.5000.215$6.13$8.12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 4? · Yes0.5000.300$6.00$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? · Yes0.5000.265$5.30$4.70
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5? · Yes0.5000.240$4.80$5.20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.330$3.30+$2.39
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 3? · No0.8600.535$3.25$1.97
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 3? · Yes0.5000.465$3.16$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:47Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 5?SELL0.0375$0.75
08-03 09:36Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 4?SELL0.5775$11.55
08-03 09:29Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 4?SELL0.61$6.10
08-03 09:27Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.61$6.71
08-03 09:23Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4?SELL0.24$1.20
08-03 03:56Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4?SELL0.2466$3.45
08-03 03:08Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4?SELL0.54$5.94
08-03 02:47Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 4?SELL0.19$3.80
08-03 01:28Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 3?SELL0.17$3.40
08-03 01:04Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 3?SELL0.15$2.70
08-02 23:59Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 3?SELL0.85$17.00
08-02 23:58Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 4?SELL0.11$2.20
08-02 23:03Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3?SELL0.608$6.08
08-02 22:15Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 4?SELL0.16$3.20
08-02 22:08Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 3?SELL0.245$2.45
Trader 0x3b81…1ae7 · PolyBot