0x3b810d6ba3f56929e3449261a11ce8c8d1951ae7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $96.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,360
- Open portfolio
- $165.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,360
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.91at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 19?
- +$90.91at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 17?
- +$89.99at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 19?
- +$83.86at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
- +$81.75at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.0375 | $0.75 |
| 08-03 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.5775 | $11.55 |
| 08-03 09:29 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 08-03 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.61 | $6.71 |
| 08-03 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 08-03 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.2466 | $3.45 |
| 08-03 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.94 |
| 08-03 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-03 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-03 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.70 |
| 08-02 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 08-02 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.608 | $6.08 |
| 08-02 22:15 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.245 | $2.45 |