0x3b7FaA989482Aa2FeF3b407aaC0Fcc14F4A9Dd41-1758783008113
0x3b7faa989482aa2fef3b407aac0fcc14f4a9dd41
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $23.3k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $662.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.580 | 0.525 | $662.53 | −$69.41 |
| Rockets vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.98 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.79 |
| Mavericks vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Heat vs. Magic · Heat | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.58 |
| Warriors vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.17 |
| Warriors vs. Bucks · Warriors | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.58 |
| Clippers vs. Lakers · Clippers | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves · Clippers | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.33 |
| Magic vs. Hawks · Magic | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Kings vs. Heat · Heat | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bucks vs. Raptors · Bucks | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Thunder vs. Kings · Kings | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Lakers vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.31 |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.671 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$232.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.71at 0.230Nuggets vs. Hawks
- +$75.83at 0.540Magic vs. 76ers
- +$68.68at 0.400Spurs vs. Cavaliers
- +$68.48at 0.270Heat vs. Mavericks
- +$60.78at 0.337Magic vs. Pistons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 03:52 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5799999998 | $731.94 |
| 08-27 09:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August? | SELL | 0.008 | $7.53 |
| 08-21 02:27 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.0306362405 | $41.40 |
| 08-12 02:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $108.10 |
| 07-04 23:56 | Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.66 | $10.07 |
| 07-02 08:13 | Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5899999843 | $9.00 |
| 07-01 06:09 | Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.951 | $9.42 |
| 06-30 02:05 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.95 |
| 06-30 01:24 | Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.7331224723 | $7.27 |
| 06-30 00:57 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.693 | $7.39 |
| 06-30 00:54 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.7359999828 | $7.86 |
| 06-30 00:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.113 | $8.13 |
| 06-27 04:34 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4399999697 | $4.64 |
| 06-22 06:25 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1389999862 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 02:39 | Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.52 | $37.70 |