0x3b7c79cf950880f8d191f1a3b5027e32d6f5524f
0x3b7c79cf950880f8d191f1a3b5027e32d6f5524f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.36
- Volume
- $145.60
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $4.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.835 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.878 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.620 | 0.680 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.810 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.95at 0.259Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$1.68at 0.379Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 23:52 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:16 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:49 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:18 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:54 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:50 | Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:50 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:48 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 02:42 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:40 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:19 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:16 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |