rolller
0x3b7b554d9cbfb82566e15d44e312c47516ac2d1a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $479.2k
- Markets traded
- 848
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded848
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$774.61at 0.145US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$764.35at 0.097Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
- +$659.99at 0.340LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$556.31at 0.159DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
- +$475.57at 0.018Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 16:47 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $12.17 |
| 04-27 16:47 | Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.91812 | $45.91 |
| 04-26 19:02 | Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 04-26 18:39 | Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.01 |
| 04-26 15:28 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.11 | $6.09 |
| 04-25 15:45 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 04-25 14:03 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 04-25 12:49 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 04-25 07:38 | Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 04-25 05:55 | Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 04-25 04:37 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $12.90 |
| 04-25 01:34 | Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $21.92 |
| 04-24 21:06 | Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $2.10 |
| 04-24 18:53 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $6.11 |
| 04-24 18:53 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.65 |