PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rolller

0x3b7b554d9cbfb82566e15d44e312c47516ac2d1a

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$479.2k
Markets traded
848
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded848
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? · No0.7301.000$200.00+$54.00
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? · No0.7281.000$199.18+$54.25
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.3931.000$184.36+$111.93
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.2101.000$150.00+$118.50
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · No0.9451.000$100.00+$5.50
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026? · Yes0.6701.000$100.00+$33.00
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark? · Yes0.8001.000$100.00+$20.00
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? · No0.9601.000$100.00+$4.00
Megaquake by June 30? · No0.7701.000$78.14+$17.97
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? · No0.3671.000$71.71+$45.41
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? · Yes0.6900.658$65.80$3.20
Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4891.000$50.00+$25.56
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.6601.000$50.00+$17.00
Will Jasmine Clark be the Democratic nominee for GA-13? · Yes0.6001.000$50.00+$20.00
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30? · No0.9531.000$50.00+$2.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 16:47Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?SELL0.59$12.17
04-27 16:47Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.91812$45.91
04-26 19:02Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?SELL0.89$17.80
04-26 18:39Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?SELL0.86$1.01
04-26 15:28Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?SELL0.11$6.09
04-25 15:45Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?SELL0.01$0.06
04-25 14:03Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?SELL0.01$0.05
04-25 12:49Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?SELL0.01$0.10
04-25 07:38Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?SELL0.09$2.70
04-25 05:55Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.98$19.60
04-25 04:37AI bubble burst in 2026?SELL0.86$12.90
04-25 01:34Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?SELL0.71$21.92
04-24 21:06Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?SELL0.021$2.10
04-24 18:53Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.58$6.11
04-24 18:53Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?SELL0.24$0.65