PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

betpot

0x3b76c8b9fb6e1af956ffe44ae8550e9ac9db76a2

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$23.9k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$58.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5100.470$56.40−$4.80
Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026? · No0.9850.986$2.00+$0.00
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31? · Yes0.7130.000$0.00−$225.30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.5890.000$0.00−$220.43
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.60
Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00−$6.48
Will Andrey Rublev advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$5.40
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$15.20
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$23.94
Maduro out by December 31, 2026? · No0.2690.000$0.00−$180.76
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.10
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.5240.000$0.00−$12.58
Maduro out by January 31, 2026? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$61.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 14:03Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.91$63.70
10-30 11:22Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026?BUY0.9849999286$2.00
10-20 08:32Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$49.40
09-20 14:05Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?BUY0.779999935$6.48
09-02 14:13Will Andrey Rublev advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?BUY0.44$4.40
06-14 15:43Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.52$7.28
06-14 15:42Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.22$1.10
06-14 15:42Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.26$2.60
06-12 16:37Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.53$5.30
06-12 16:29European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? SELL0.987$30.21
02-15 20:11European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? BUY0.6899999549$1.53
02-14 15:40European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? BUY0.69$15.87
02-14 04:22European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? BUY0.6799999022$1.39
02-13 06:52European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? BUY0.6799999404$2.28
01-08 22:39Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.4499999544$1.48