betpot
0x3b76c8b9fb6e1af956ffe44ae8550e9ac9db76a2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $23.9k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $58.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.82at 0.723Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?
- +$112.94at 0.813Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?
- +$97.28at 0.200Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
- +$40.63at 0.798Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?
- +$30.14at 0.272Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 14:03 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $63.70 |
| 10-30 11:22 | Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9849999286 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 08:32 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $49.40 |
| 09-20 14:05 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.779999935 | $6.48 |
| 09-02 14:13 | Will Andrey Rublev advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 06-14 15:43 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.52 | $7.28 |
| 06-14 15:42 | Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 06-14 15:42 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 06-12 16:37 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 06-12 16:29 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | SELL | 0.987 | $30.21 |
| 02-15 20:11 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BUY | 0.6899999549 | $1.53 |
| 02-14 15:40 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $15.87 |
| 02-14 04:22 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BUY | 0.6799999022 | $1.39 |
| 02-13 06:52 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BUY | 0.6799999404 | $2.28 |
| 01-08 22:39 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999544 | $1.48 |