sfggr
0x3b68dd0c859fd01567a22f43708d5496e4d7c0df
- Realised P&L
- $-39.78
- Volume
- $32.0k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $79.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.695 | $59.57 | −$0.43 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $10B? · Yes | 0.250 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$15.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.50 |
| Meta (META) Q2 average price per ad growth 15%+? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.80 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $22B? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.60 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPad revenue be above $8B? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.34at 0.152Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$47.99at 0.520US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
- +$20.00at 0.500Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
- +$17.70at 0.216Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 02:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6999999977 | $60.00 |
| 07-18 15:21 | Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above $8.5B? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 07-18 08:41 | Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 07-18 08:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20? | SELL | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 07-18 08:29 | Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.16 |
| 07-18 08:28 | Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 08:22 | Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 07-18 07:57 | Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.23 |
| 07-18 07:54 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.685 | $34.25 |
| 07-18 07:26 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 07-18 07:25 | Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 07-18 07:25 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 07-18 07:25 | Will Dynamite be the first song performed by BTS at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 07-18 06:29 | Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 07-18 06:02 | Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the top song for 2026? | SELL | 0.0355 | $0.71 |