PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sfggr

0x3b68dd0c859fd01567a22f43708d5496e4d7c0df

Realised P&L
$-39.78
Volume
$32.0k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$79.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7000.695$59.57$0.43
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $10B? · Yes0.2501.000$20.00+$15.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$23.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2150.000$0.00$21.50
Meta (META) Q2 average price per ad growth 15%+? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$5.80
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $22B? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$5.60
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPad revenue be above $8B? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$2.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 02:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.6999999977$60.00
07-18 15:21Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above $8.5B?SELL0.12$2.40
07-18 08:41Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?SELL0.61$12.20
07-18 08:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?SELL0.89$44.50
07-18 08:29Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?SELL0.26$0.16
07-18 08:28Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.2$2.00
07-18 08:22Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.17$3.40
07-18 07:57Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?SELL0.27$5.23
07-18 07:54Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.685$34.25
07-18 07:26Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?SELL0.08$4.00
07-18 07:25Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?SELL0.32$6.40
07-18 07:25Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.42$8.40
07-18 07:25Will Dynamite be the first song performed by BTS at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?SELL0.66$13.20
07-18 06:29Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.38$7.60
07-18 06:02Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the top song for 2026?SELL0.0355$0.71