0x3B5F44833f9D4980691B63A9D8BA4A20Db727B99-1770313213679
0x3b5f44833f9d4980691b63a9d8ba4a20db727b99
- Realised P&L
- $-8.3k
- Volume
- $396.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,720
- Open portfolio
- $420.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,720
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.390 | 1.000 | $199.90 | +$121.90 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.360 | 1.000 | $199.90 | +$127.90 |
| FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.500 | 1.000 | $20.39 | +$10.19 |
| GAIS vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$44.95 |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) · Spurs | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
| Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.00 |
| Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.99 |
| SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.00 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$520.00at 0.48076ers vs. Celtics
- +$496.00at 0.380Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- +$407.99at 0.490Pistons vs. Cavaliers
- +$392.00at 0.510Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$383.24at 0.577Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:17 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.60 |
| 10-10 13:37 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 10-10 13:36 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.38 | $76.00 |
| 10-10 11:50 | Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 10-10 11:33 | 1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $43.40 |
| 10-09 19:05 | SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-09 19:03 | West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $20.28 |
| 10-09 18:49 | PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 10-09 18:48 | PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $12.80 |
| 10-07 04:08 | Mexico vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $55.20 |
| 10-05 19:23 | France vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $64.00 |
| 10-03 19:27 | Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 10-03 19:24 | North Macedonia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.41 | $0.40 |
| 10-02 16:36 | Cyprus vs. Armenia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $43.00 |
| 10-01 19:17 | Greece vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.36 | $21.96 |