pes2021
0x3b5ee95d51ccd5b07dae500e3e6401c55c060e71
- Realised P&L
- $-12.42
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $8.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the MD-03 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $8.77 | +$0.05 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.30at 0.900US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.930Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
- +$1.01at 0.941Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$0.80at 0.920Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
- +$0.67at 0.965Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 22:47 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.93 | $6.24 |
| 09-14 17:00 | Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.945 | $5.89 |
| 09-14 11:58 | Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.953 | $5.37 |
| 09-14 05:15 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.43 |
| 09-10 14:39 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.948 | $7.94 |
| 08-22 14:11 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.92 | $8.61 |
| 08-22 10:41 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.92 | $6.54 |
| 08-21 14:38 | Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat? | SELL | 0.95 | $6.88 |
| 07-25 03:05 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.95 | $11.43 |
| 07-23 20:13 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.958 | $8.11 |
| 07-20 16:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.969 | $9.44 |
| 07-20 16:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.969 | $9.44 |
| 07-19 21:06 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.977 | $9.63 |
| 07-18 05:11 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.976 | $11.23 |
| 07-17 19:58 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.974 | $10.56 |