PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pes2021

0x3b5ee95d51ccd5b07dae500e3e6401c55c060e71

Realised P&L
$-12.42
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
265
Open portfolio
$8.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded265
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the MD-03 House seat? · No0.9500.955$8.77+$0.05
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · No0.9100.000$0.00$13.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 22:47Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.93$6.24
09-14 17:00Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.945$5.89
09-14 11:58Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.953$5.37
09-14 05:15Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.97$5.43
09-10 14:39Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.948$7.94
08-22 14:11Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.92$8.61
08-22 10:41Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.92$6.54
08-21 14:38Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?SELL0.95$6.88
07-25 03:05Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat?SELL0.95$11.43
07-23 20:13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.958$8.11
07-20 16:51Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.969$9.44
07-20 16:45Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.969$9.44
07-19 21:06Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.977$9.63
07-18 05:11Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.976$11.23
07-17 19:58Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.974$10.56