PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Demon077

0x3b5d60e03d451a4e2374ad0df94170ab134cf6ac

Realised P&L
$-143.66
Volume
$8.0k
Markets traded
387
Open portfolio
$35.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded387
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yes0.0800.200$5.00+$3.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.0300.059$1.95+$0.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes0.2900.560$1.93+$0.93
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 24? · Yes0.3700.320$1.64$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 25? · Yes0.5300.425$1.60$0.40
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs · K270.7100.845$1.19+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 24? · Yes0.2900.340$1.17+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 24? · Yes0.1700.190$1.12+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 24? · Yes0.4400.455$1.03+$0.03
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Keyd (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A · Turma do Pagode0.5400.545$1.01+$0.01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30? · Yes0.1000.100$1.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 25? · No0.7800.775$0.99$0.01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 25? · Yes0.3500.345$0.99$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 24? · Yes0.5000.475$0.95$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 24? · Yes0.2000.190$0.95$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 15:43Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 25?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-24 15:34Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-24 15:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11AM ETSELL0.65$3.18
09-24 15:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11AM ETBUY0.6199998946$2.00
09-24 15:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11AM ETBUY0.59999988$1.00
09-24 15:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11AM ETBUY0.5899999145$2.00
09-24 14:58Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-24 14:55Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Keyd (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group ABUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-24 14:41Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24?SELL0.95$1.94
09-24 14:19Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-24 13:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSELL0.14$1.08
09-24 13:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-24 13:13Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 25?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-24 13:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9AM ETBUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-24 13:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9AM ETBUY0.549999945$1.00