0x3B5A606215bFD98A1896e5aEcF7ff0c18bedF55E-1793061343332
0x3b5a606215bfd98a1896e5aecf7ff0c18bedf55e
- Realised P&L
- $25.49
- Volume
- $395.14
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $283.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.952 | 1.000 | $283.74 | +$13.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.49at 0.870Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9518130476 | $70.00 |
| 11-01 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9543730658 | $191.20 |
| 11-01 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 10-28 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $197.37 |
| 10-27 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27? | BUY | 0.87 | $123.17 |