waarper
0x3b591c9a6ed6bc9cf693545f32331ac59b5c5c98
- Realised P&L
- $-12.26
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $107.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.060 | $59.12 | −$11.63 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.052 | $43.94 | +$5.54 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.125 | $4.13 | +$0.17 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 23:34 | Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0723962721 | $70.75 |
| 09-14 23:34 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.042854464 | $76.95 |
| 09-14 23:25 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.96 |
| 09-14 23:22 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0457683012 | $70.00 |
| 09-14 23:18 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.045 | $50.00 |