gooddog918
0x3b5004a6dd7b9c2a9afe14161231f0ff91e6c760
- Realised P&L
- $3.71
- Volume
- $19.9k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $315.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $155.45 | −$0.39 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $155.45 | −$0.39 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.15at 0.983Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$9.00at 0.820Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$7.02at 0.950US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$6.68at 0.990Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$6.39at 0.991Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 15:04 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 10-11 15:03 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 10-11 15:03 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 09:42 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $5.91 |
| 09-23 05:27 | Will BNB dip to $500 in September? | BUY | 0.987 | $92.73 |
| 09-16 07:32 | Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $135.86 |
| 09-15 06:40 | Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $85.91 |
| 09-15 06:39 | Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $84.75 |
| 09-14 09:10 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September? | BUY | 0.956 | $38.43 |
| 09-14 09:07 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of September? | BUY | 0.99 | $17.82 |
| 09-06 01:42 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-06 01:41 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 09-02 10:15 | Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $50.85 |
| 09-02 10:13 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.30 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-02 10:13 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.30 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |