0x3b4c2bd9e7f941290257f2205116d03675df0fe4
0x3b4c2bd9e7f941290257f2205116d03675df0fe4
- Realised P&L
- $-9.55
- Volume
- $230.01
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $4.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.685 | $2.35 | +$0.60 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 1.000 | $2.33 | +$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.50at 0.280Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
- +$3.07at 0.402Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$2.27at 0.442Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.87at 0.522Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.78at 0.502Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.509999933 | $1.75 |
| 09-18 00:20 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999109 | $1.75 |
| 09-17 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.75 |
| 09-17 06:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999406 | $1.75 |
| 09-16 22:46 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.75 |
| 09-16 02:17 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6499999257 | $1.75 |
| 09-12 13:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.75 |
| 09-12 04:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999549 | $1.75 |
| 09-11 19:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.739999929 | $1.25 |
| 09-11 05:36 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | BUY | 0.4899999412 | $1.75 |
| 09-10 21:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3599999342 | $1.75 |
| 09-10 13:33 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8189999677 | $1.75 |
| 09-10 04:59 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999849 | $1.75 |
| 09-09 08:19 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999229 | $1.75 |
| 09-08 22:34 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.75 |