0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f
0x3b4484b6c8cbfdaa383ba337ab3f0d71055e264e
- Realised P&L
- $282.8k
- Volume
- $4.27M
- Markets traded
- 494
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded494
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.5kat 0.790Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?
- +$15.2kat 0.010US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
- +$14.3kat 0.255Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?
- +$13.4kat 0.676Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$12.9kat 0.515Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:59 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.8k |
| 09-11 03:52 | Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in September? | BUY | 0.71 | $92.30 |
| 09-10 06:01 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.37 | $287.08 |
| 09-09 21:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6217081018 | $417.37 |
| 09-07 22:17 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 7? | BUY | 0.8766666667 | $26.30 |
| 08-30 19:24 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $57.9k |
| 08-22 05:54 | Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1713919745 | $113.87 |
| 08-22 05:53 | Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 08-22 05:48 | Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.83 |
| 08-22 04:19 | Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3023138462 | $235.80 |
| 08-22 03:35 | Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6493155057 | $354.02 |
| 08-22 03:34 | Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5059328188 | $542.07 |
| 08-22 02:38 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8600256575 | $134.08 |
| 08-22 02:38 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3769767442 | $16.21 |
| 08-17 01:17 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |