PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Twelve12

0x3b4374a4932a8e683d5b2001e3be8f3da39ca512

Realised P&L
$789.52
Volume
$49.2k
Markets traded
5,205
Open portfolio
$8.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded5,205
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration2.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 11? · Yes0.4700.700$3.54+$1.16
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12? · Yes0.4000.385$1.93−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 12? · Yes0.2800.275$1.38−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12? · Yes0.2300.255$1.27+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10? · Yes0.2700.001$0.00−$1.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00−$4.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$2.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$2.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00−$4.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$4.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$2.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$2.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$4.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$4.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$2.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 12:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSELL0.49$7.35
08-16 12:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.5$7.50
07-01 21:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSELL0.49$4.90
07-01 21:24Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
07-01 21:24Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSELL0.49$4.90
07-01 21:23Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
03-21 11:09Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY0.6$0.97
03-21 10:44Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.7599999088$0.98
03-18 22:54Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.5299998781$0.97
02-23 21:02Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ETSELL0.999$4.34
02-23 20:21Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ETBUY0.2299998275$1.00
02-17 07:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2AM ETSELL0.35$0.74
02-17 07:45Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2AM ETBUY0.4699998778$1.00
01-01 21:10Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.5299998781$1.00
01-01 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.4599997608$1.00