lirio123
0x3b3d4f86900c50deb73f6786c82385f80e25b162
- Realised P&L
- $-27.5k
- Volume
- $463.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.900Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
- +$1.1kat 0.855Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?
- +$1.0kat 0.060Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?
- +$4.81at 0.310Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
- +$-3.4kat 0.872Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 08:27 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.08 | $640.00 |
| 07-24 20:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.5726407645 | $210.32 |
| 07-24 15:35 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | SELL | 0.043 | $16.44 |
| 07-24 15:33 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.045 | $225.00 |
| 07-24 15:32 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.045 | $390.01 |
| 07-24 15:32 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.044917 | $269.50 |
| 07-24 14:15 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.7k |
| 07-24 14:14 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $225.00 |
| 07-24 10:43 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $758.04 |
| 07-23 19:54 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.049 | $76.42 |
| 07-23 18:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | BUY | 0.82 | $214.05 |
| 07-23 16:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | SELL | 0.89 | $7.12 |
| 07-23 11:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | BUY | 0.86 | $73.96 |
| 07-23 08:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? | SELL | 0.994 | $6.6k |
| 07-23 08:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.3k |