Fatbbbb
0x3b2ca1312bed6142f069090240b43d801aceecdc
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $162.9k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $187.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.571Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?
- +$1.3kat 0.052Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.124Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
- +$930.50at 0.316Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
- +$889.60at 0.383Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4388588368 | $143.60 |
| 09-28 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-28 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.42 | $44.10 |
| 09-28 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.4491299809 | $25.81 |
| 09-28 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.44 | $29.59 |
| 09-28 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-28 01:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-28 01:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.44 |
| 09-28 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.998 | $359.69 |
| 09-28 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.52 |
| 09-27 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $412.44 |
| 09-26 23:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |