PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3b2a811f0afe4311540ca6b05d04086193b865b3

Realised P&L
$-40.99
Volume
$34.6k
Markets traded
153
Open portfolio
$481.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded153
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.955$315.15+$14.85
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6200.760$136.80+$25.20
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7170.685$29.42$1.37
Sweden leading at halftime? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$5.46
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4400.000$0.00$9.24
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$8.40
South Africa leading at halftime? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$3.15
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5 · Under0.6400.000$0.00$13.44
Austria leading at halftime? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$2.52
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5600.000$0.00$11.76
Colombia leading at halftime? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$9.66
Korea Republic leading at halftime? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$4.41
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score · No0.4200.000$0.00$17.64
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score · No0.4400.000$0.00$18.48
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.2940.000$0.00$6.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 22:16Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.71$3.55
07-19 14:31Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.409$204.50
07-19 14:30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.592$296.00
07-17 08:36Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.585$36.56
07-15 18:41Lionel Messi: 4+ shotsBUY0.42$8.82
07-15 18:41Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsBUY0.4$8.40
07-15 18:39England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.2$4.20
07-15 18:38Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsBUY0.24$5.04
07-15 18:37Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsBUY0.87$18.27
07-15 18:36Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.38$7.98
07-15 18:35Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsBUY0.25$5.25
07-15 18:34England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersBUY0.31$6.51
07-15 18:33Argentina to score first vs. England?BUY0.44$9.24
07-15 18:33England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.53$11.13
07-15 18:32England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.385$8.09