0x3b2a811f0afe4311540ca6b05d04086193b865b3
- Realised P&L
- $-40.99
- Volume
- $34.6k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $481.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$223.51at 0.604Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$28.29at 0.327Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
- +$28.29at 0.327Norway leading at halftime?
- +$26.17at 0.377Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?
- +$23.63at 0.437Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 22:16 | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 07-19 14:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.409 | $204.50 |
| 07-19 14:30 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.592 | $296.00 |
| 07-17 08:36 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.585 | $36.56 |
| 07-15 18:41 | Lionel Messi: 4+ shots | BUY | 0.42 | $8.82 |
| 07-15 18:41 | Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots | BUY | 0.4 | $8.40 |
| 07-15 18:39 | England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.20 |
| 07-15 18:38 | Lionel Messi: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.24 | $5.04 |
| 07-15 18:37 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.87 | $18.27 |
| 07-15 18:36 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.38 | $7.98 |
| 07-15 18:35 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.25 | $5.25 |
| 07-15 18:34 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.31 | $6.51 |
| 07-15 18:33 | Argentina to score first vs. England? | BUY | 0.44 | $9.24 |
| 07-15 18:33 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.53 | $11.13 |
| 07-15 18:32 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.385 | $8.09 |