PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3B260C4fe9e98caC0FdD87b8b790aCad64aA1bC3-1732990401455

0x3b260c4fe9e98cac0fdd87b8b790acad64aa1bc3

Realised P&L
$-53.43
Volume
$6.2k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$39.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No0.9950.875$23.10−$3.19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? · Yes0.9980.996$16.86−$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 20:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17?BUY0.9979999844$16.90
10-13 16:57Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.9954209097$26.30
10-09 11:20Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?BUY0.996$25.00
10-06 14:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?BUY0.9986217279$13.20
10-05 12:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6?BUY0.995$16.00
10-02 08:47Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.994$15.10
10-02 03:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 2?BUY0.9979999647$23.00
09-29 21:30U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30?BUY0.9987856653$23.30
09-29 04:24Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.997999925$12.00
09-24 13:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 25?BUY0.995$22.50
09-21 06:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 23?BUY0.998$12.00
09-17 20:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?BUY0.998$12.70
09-17 17:43Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.9929999999$15.00
09-12 16:54Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13?BUY0.9969999648$16.00
09-04 22:28Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.9969999999$17.61