m8x.gort
0x3b22f9851d5e70162d8f66f096792b7ecdb56f69
- Realised P&L
- $996.43
- Volume
- $114.7k
- Markets traded
- 708
- Open portfolio
- $397.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded708
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.995 | $223.77 | +$84.20 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 29? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $49.85 | −$0.05 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.220 | $39.17 | +$16.08 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $28.00 | +$0.13 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29? · No | 0.963 | 0.801 | $25.65 | −$5.19 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.995 | $16.76 | +$0.08 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 28? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $9.88 | +$0.05 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.035 | $4.66 | +$1.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.50at 0.536Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27?
- +$152.82at 0.975Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 24?
- +$148.21at 0.831Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?
- +$140.56at 0.269Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?
- +$124.65at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 09-28 14:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.45 |
| 09-28 14:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.13 |
| 09-28 14:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $23.75 |
| 09-28 14:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.0134891835 | $0.58 |
| 09-28 14:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.0498321892 | $1.31 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.8745835026 | $64.57 |
| 09-28 13:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.482408395 | $28.04 |
| 09-28 13:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.16 |
| 09-28 13:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 09-28 13:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.81 |
| 09-28 12:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.91 | $28.66 |
| 09-28 12:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9131036623 | $14.71 |
| 09-28 12:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-28 12:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.9631561524 | $30.84 |