0x3b1AD10EB93936E223031bF05bA040C1706Aab23-1780106518480
0x3b1ad10eb93936e223031bf05ba040c1706aab23
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $136.4k
- Markets traded
- 285
- Open portfolio
- $41.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded285
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 24? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.510 | $25.50 | +$15.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.515 | $15.45 | +$9.15 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 21? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21? · No | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.17 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.40at 0.210Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?
- +$76.00at 0.810Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
- +$69.20at 0.260Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?
- +$63.34at 0.941Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?
- +$63.20at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 13:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 10-20 13:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 10-20 13:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 10-20 02:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 02:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.05 |
| 10-18 14:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.011 | $2.20 |
| 10-10 01:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 01:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 15:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.0591792115 | $3.30 |
| 10-08 15:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.21 |
| 10-06 06:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.30 |
| 09-30 12:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 05:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.901 | $18.02 |
| 09-14 17:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-14 17:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |