0x3B14bf808BCebC6257d0Ea3eFD454fDf957fBc5E-1771997584544
0x3b14bf808bcebc6257d0ea3efd454fdf957fbc5e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.41
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $16.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.98at 0.482Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?
- +$1.86at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22?
- +$1.30at 0.935Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15?
- +$1.00at 0.900Bitcoin Up or Down on April 18?
- +$0.51at 0.897Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 08:32 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:31 | Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.9329994439 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:30 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:30 | Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:30 | Will Tim Cook attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.9559999904 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:29 | Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.9349999766 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:29 | Will Jensen Huang attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.9899995199 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:28 | US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? | BUY | 0.9719996073 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:27 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.9939997207 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:26 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $4.88 |
| 09-18 08:46 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 08:45 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.9779998924 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 08:44 | Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8959999713 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 08:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.9639997506 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 08:44 | XRP Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |