PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3B14bf808BCebC6257d0Ea3eFD454fDf957fBc5E-1771997584544

0x3b14bf808bcebc6257d0ea3efd454fdf957fbc5e

Realised P&L
$-1.41
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
171
Open portfolio
$16.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded171
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.9780.996$3.05+$0.05
Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? · Yes0.9350.960$2.05+$0.05
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.7000.715$2.04+$0.04
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes0.9940.986$1.98$0.02
Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? · No0.9000.885$1.97$0.03
Will Jensen Huang attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? · Yes0.9900.961$1.94$0.06
Will Tim Cook attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? · Yes0.9560.867$1.81$0.19
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? · No0.9330.927$0.99$0.01
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? · No0.9720.954$0.98$0.02
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24? · Up0.7950.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 25? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on September 8? · Down0.5500.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 25? · No0.7900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8? · Down0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29? · Up0.8900.000$0.00$2.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 08:32Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.699999965$2.00
09-22 08:31Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?BUY0.9329994439$1.00
09-22 08:30Ethereum Up or Down on September 22?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-22 08:30Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.9$2.00
09-22 08:30Will Tim Cook attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.9559999904$2.00
09-22 08:29Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.9349999766$2.00
09-22 08:29Will Jensen Huang attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.9899995199$2.00
09-22 08:28US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?BUY0.9719996073$1.00
09-22 08:27Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.9939997207$2.00
09-22 08:26Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.977$4.88
09-18 08:46Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.999$5.00
09-18 08:45Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.9779998924$3.00
09-18 08:44Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8959999713$2.00
09-18 08:44Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.9639997506$3.00
09-18 08:44XRP Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.8699999913$2.00